All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Dallas Cowboys
Arizona Cardinals
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Will there be more than 54.5 points?
75%Crowd
50%Market
+25Divergence

+25 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd runs well above market on Under 54.5, and backs Arizona at half-time where the market disagrees sharply.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Will there be more than 54.5 points?Biggest gap50%75% Under 54.5+25
2Who leads at half-time?25%50% Arizona+25
3Will Dallas win by 7 or more?54%50% Yes-4
4Who wins?75%75% Dallas Cowboys0
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario50%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters4World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Dallas Cowboys75%
Arizona Cardinals25%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
2Will Dallas win by 7 or more?
Yes50%
No50%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
3Will there be more than 54.5 points?
Under 54.575%
Over 54.525%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
4Who leads at half-time?
Arizona50%
Dallas50%
Tie0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Dallas Cowboys
Mkt 75%Crowd 75%0pp
: Thin
Will Dallas win by 7 or more: Yes
Mkt 54%Crowd 50%-4pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 54.5 points: Under 54.5
Mkt 50%Crowd 75%+25pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Arizona
Mkt 25%Crowd 50%+25pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 50% of voters

A controlled Dallas victory: the Cowboys lead from the front, win comfortably by a full score or more, and both offences stay quiet in a low-scoring affair.

Who wins?Dallas Cowboys
Will Dallas win by 7 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 54.5 points?Under 54.5
Who leads at half-time?Dallas
Scenario 2 · 25% of voters

An Arizona upset vision: the Cardinals hold the lead at the break, keep the game tight and low-scoring, and deny Dallas any margin of comfort.

Who wins?Arizona Cardinals
Will Dallas win by 7 or more?No
Will there be more than 54.5 points?Under 54.5
Who leads at half-time?Arizona
Scenario 3 · 25% of voters

A chaotic Dallas win: Arizona leads at half-time, both teams pour on points in an open shootout, but Dallas edges through without a dominant margin.

Who wins?Dallas Cowboys
Will Dallas win by 7 or more?No
Will there be more than 54.5 points?Over 54.5
Who leads at half-time?Arizona
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 4 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Dallas win by 7 or more?Will there be more than 54.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
150%2 voters
Dallas CowboysPending
YesPending
Under 54.5Pending
DallasPending
3.6×
225%1 voter
Arizona CardinalsPending
NoPending
Under 54.5Pending
ArizonaPending
5.3×
325%1 voter
Dallas CowboysPending
NoPending
Over 54.5Pending
ArizonaPending
5.3×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (4 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.77How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call3.6×The most-backed combination drew 3.6× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-7. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
Browse all matches