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Houston Texans
New York Giants
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VoxPop gap highlight
Who leads at half-time?
100%Crowd
88%Market
+12Divergence

+12 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd unanimous on Houston halftime lead, sitting above the market on that leg.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Who leads at half-time?Biggest gap88%100% Houston+12
2Who wins?80%75% Houston Texans-5
3Will Houston win by 10 or more?55%50% Yes-5
4Will there be more than 42.5 points?52%50% Over 42.5-2
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario25%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationModeratehow much answers moved together
Voters4World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Houston Texans75%
New York Giants25%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
2Will Houston win by 10 or more?
Yes50%
No50%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
3Will there be more than 42.5 points?
Over 42.550%
Under 42.550%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
4Who leads at half-time?
Houston100%
New York G0%
Tie0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Houston Texans
Mkt 80%Crowd 75%-5pp
: Thin
Will Houston win by 10 or more: Yes
Mkt 55%Crowd 50%-5pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 42.5 points: Over 42.5
Mkt 52%Crowd 50%-2pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Houston
Mkt 88%Crowd 100%+12pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 25% of voters

A Houston win that stays close and stays low-scoring, with Houston in front at the break but never pulling decisively clear.

Who wins?Houston Texans
Will Houston win by 10 or more?No
Will there be more than 42.5 points?Under 42.5
Who leads at half-time?Houston
Scenario 2 · 25% of voters

A commanding Houston performance in a high-scoring game, leading at half and eventually pulling away by double digits.

Who wins?Houston Texans
Will Houston win by 10 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 42.5 points?Over 42.5
Who leads at half-time?Houston
Scenario 3 · 25% of voters

Houston in control throughout a tight, low-scoring contest, building a lead at the break and converting it into a ten-plus-point margin.

Who wins?Houston Texans
Will Houston win by 10 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 42.5 points?Under 42.5
Who leads at half-time?Houston
75% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 4 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Moderate).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Houston win by 10 or more?Will there be more than 42.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
125%1 voter
Houston TexansPending
NoPending
Under 42.5Pending
HoustonPending
1.3×
225%1 voter
Houston TexansPending
YesPending
Over 42.5Pending
HoustonPending
1.3×
325%1 voter
Houston TexansPending
YesPending
Under 42.5Pending
HoustonPending
1.3×
425%1 voter
New York GiantsPending
NoPending
Over 42.5Pending
HoustonPending
4.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (4 voters · top 4 of 4 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.38How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.3×The most-backed combination drew 1.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-4The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-4; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-5. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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