All resolved pollsResolved · 14 SEPT 2026Crowd & market agreed
Kansas City ChiefsWon · Crowd had 62%31
Denver BroncosCrowd had 38%10
The verdict

The crowd called it — Kansas City Chiefs won 31–10.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos 605 verified humans answered. The crowd's read sat 6 points above the market's price on Kansas City Chiefs, and the crowd had it.

50%Crowd on Kansas City Chiefs
44%Market price
+6Points of divergence

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

Detailed match data
How the crowd called it
2 / 4questions the crowd called · 1 alongside the market
wins on Monday nightCrowd & market agreed
Against the spread, who…Market beat the crowd
total points get scoredMarket beat the crowd
leads at half-timeCrowd beat the market
The crowd's read
Top scenario13%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters605World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins on Monday night?
Kansas City Chiefs ✓62%
Denver Broncos38%
OutcomeKansas City Chiefs
Voters605
ReadConsensus
2Against the spread, who covers?
Broncos +2.553%
Chiefs -2.5 ✓47%
OutcomeChiefs -2.5
Voters605
ReadMarket
3How many total points get scored?
Over 43.553%
Under 43.5 ✓47%
OutcomeUnder 43.5
Voters605
ReadMarket
4Who leads at half-time?
Kansas City Chiefs ✓50%
Denver Broncos34%
Tie16%
OutcomeKansas City Chiefs
Voters605
ReadCrowd
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins on Monday night: Kansas City ChiefsConsensus
Mkt 57%Crowd 62%+5pp
Result: Kansas City Chiefs · 0.29
: Deep
Against the spread, who covers: Broncos +2.5Market
Mkt 50%Crowd 53%+3pp
Result: Chiefs -2.5 · 0.56
: Deep
How many total points get scored: Over 43.5Market
Mkt 50%Crowd 53%+3pp
Result: Under 43.5 · 0.56
: Deep
Who leads at half-time: Kansas City ChiefsCrowd
Mkt 44%Crowd 50%+6pp
Result: Kansas City Chiefs · 0.39
: Deep
The crowd's calibration · Brier
The crowd's calibration, question by question
Who wins on Monday night0.29
Against the spread, who covers0.56
How many total points get scored0.56
Who leads at half-time0.39
Average0.45
Brier scores how well-calibrated the crowd was on each question: 0 is a perfect, confident, correct call · ~0.25 is a coin-flip · higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened. Computed from the crowd's own vote split vs what actually happened — no betting market involved.
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 13% of voters

The crowd's modal vision: Chiefs dominant enough to cover the spread, lead at the break, and power a high-scoring night in Kansas City.

Who wins on Monday night?Kansas City Chiefs
Against the spread, who covers?Chiefs -2.5
How many total points get scored?Over 43.5
Who leads at half-time?Kansas City Chiefs
Scenario 2 · 10% of voters

A Chiefs win and half-time lead, but with Denver staying close enough to cover, in a game the crowd still expected to produce plenty of points.

Who wins on Monday night?Kansas City Chiefs
Against the spread, who covers?Broncos +2.5
How many total points get scored?Over 43.5
Who leads at half-time?Kansas City Chiefs
Scenario 3 · 10% of voters · came true

Chiefs in control from the first half and covering comfortably, but in a tighter, lower-scoring contest rather than an open shootout.

Who wins on Monday night?Kansas City Chiefs
Against the spread, who covers?Chiefs -2.5
How many total points get scored?Under 43.5
Who leads at half-time?Kansas City Chiefs
33% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 605 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins on Monday night?Against the spread, who covers?How many total points get scored?Who leads at half-time?
113%80 voters
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
Chiefs -2.5Called it!
Over 43.5Got it wrong
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
1.7×
210%60 voters
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
Broncos +2.5Got it wrong
Over 43.5Got it wrong
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
1.1×
310%59 voters
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
Chiefs -2.5Called it!
Under 43.5Called it!
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
1.4×
48%47 voters
Denver BroncosGot it wrong
Broncos +2.5Got it wrong
Over 43.5Got it wrong
Denver BroncosGot it wrong
2.1×
57%45 voters
Denver BroncosGot it wrong
Broncos +2.5Got it wrong
Under 43.5Called it!
Denver BroncosGot it wrong
2.3×
66%39 voters
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
Broncos +2.5Got it wrong
Under 43.5Called it!
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
0.8×
74%22 voters
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
Chiefs -2.5Called it!
Over 43.5Got it wrong
Denver BroncosGot it wrong
0.7×
83%21 voters
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
Broncos +2.5Got it wrong
Over 43.5Got it wrong
Denver BroncosGot it wrong
0.6×
93%21 voters
Denver BroncosGot it wrong
Chiefs -2.5Called it!
Under 43.5Called it!
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
0.8×
103%20 voters
Kansas City ChiefsCalled it!
Chiefs -2.5Called it!
Under 43.5Called it!
TieGot it wrong
1.5×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (605 voters · top 10 of 24 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.21How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.7×The most-backed combination drew 1.7× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-8The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-8; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-13. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
How right was the crowd · alignment
4 / 459 · 10%
3 / 4175 · 29%
2 / 4171 · 28%
1 / 4141 · 23%
0 / 459 · 10%
Legs each complete ballot got right (n=605). Average 2.06 / 4.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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