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New Orleans Saints
Pittsburgh Steelers
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?
80%Crowd
47%Market
+33Divergence

+33 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits far above market on Pittsburgh winning by a clear margin.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?Biggest gap47%80% Yes+33
2Who leads at half-time?62%80% Pittsburgh+18
3Who wins?63%80% Pittsburgh Steelers+17
4Will there be more than 44.5 points?49%60% Over 44.5+11
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario40%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationModeratehow much answers moved together
Voters5World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Pittsburgh Steelers80%
New Orleans Saints20%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
2Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?
Yes80%
No20%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
3Will there be more than 44.5 points?
Over 44.560%
Under 44.540%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
4Who leads at half-time?
Pittsburgh80%
New Orleans20%
Tie0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Pittsburgh Steelers
Mkt 63%Crowd 80%+17pp
: Thin
Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more: Yes
Mkt 47%Crowd 80%+33pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 44.5 points: Over 44.5
Mkt 49%Crowd 60%+11pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Pittsburgh
Mkt 62%Crowd 80%+18pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 40% of voters

Pittsburgh in command from the first whistle, building a lead of four or more in a game that opens up and pushes past the points line.

Who wins?Pittsburgh Steelers
Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 44.5 points?Over 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Pittsburgh
Scenario 2 · 40% of voters

Pittsburgh grinds out a decisive margin win, leading at the half and keeping the game tight and low-scoring throughout.

Who wins?Pittsburgh Steelers
Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 44.5 points?Under 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Pittsburgh
Scenario 3 · 20% of voters

New Orleans flips the script, leading at the half and keeping it close enough to deny Pittsburgh a four-point margin in a high-scoring contest.

Who wins?New Orleans Saints
Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 44.5 points?Over 44.5
Who leads at half-time?New Orleans
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 5 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Moderate).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?Will there be more than 44.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
140%2 voters
Pittsburgh SteelersPending
YesPending
Over 44.5Pending
PittsburghPending
1.3×
240%2 voters
Pittsburgh SteelersPending
YesPending
Under 44.5Pending
PittsburghPending
2.0×
320%1 voter
New Orleans SaintsPending
NoPending
Over 44.5Pending
New OrleansPending
41.7×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (5 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.48How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.3×The most-backed combination drew 1.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-3. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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