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AC Milan
Bologna
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
82%Crowd
42%Market
+40Divergence

+40 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits far above market on Milan, across every scenario they mapped.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap42%82% Milan+40
2Will both teams score?52%66% Yes+14
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?53%60% Over 2.5 goals+7
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario41%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters573World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Milan82%
Bologna12%
Tie7%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters573
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals60%
Under 2.5 goals40%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters573
3Will both teams score?
Yes66%
No34%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters573
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Milan
Mkt 42%Crowd 82%+40pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 53%Crowd 60%+7pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 52%Crowd 66%+14pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 41% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Milan win in an open, end-to-end contest where both sides find the net and goals flow freely.

Match resultMilan
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 19% of voters

A tighter, more controlled picture: Milan grind out a win in a low-scoring affair, keeping Bologna off the scoresheet entirely.

Match resultMilan
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
Scenario 3 · 13% of voters

Milan win but the match stays close and cagey, with both sides scoring yet the goal tally staying modest.

Match resultMilan
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
73% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 573 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
141%237 voters
MilanPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.3×
219%107 voters
MilanPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.7×
313%76 voters
MilanPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
49%49 voters
MilanPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.5×
55%30 voters
BolognaPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.1×
63%16 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.0×
73%16 voters
BolognaPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.7×
82%11 voters
BolognaPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
92%11 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
2.0×
102%9 voters
BolognaPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.6×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (573 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.20How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.3×The most-backed combination drew 1.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-3. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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