All resolved pollsResolved · 27 SEPT 2026Crowd beat the market
Denver BroncosWon · Crowd had 67%30
Los Angeles RamsCrowd had 33%26
The verdict

The crowd backed Tie 1st Half. Denver Broncos won 30–26.

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams 3 verified humans answered. The crowd's read sat 64 points above the market's price on Tie 1st Half, and it went the other way.

67%Crowd on Tie 1st Half
3%Market price
+64Points of divergence

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

Detailed match data
How the crowd called it
3 / 4questions the crowd called
winsCrowd beat the market
Los Angeles win by 3 or…Crowd beat the market
there be more than 44.5…Crowd beat the market
leads at half-timeMarket beat the crowd
The crowd's read
Top scenario33%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters3World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Denver Broncos ✓67%
Los Angeles Rams33%
OutcomeDenver Broncos
Voters3
ReadCrowd
2Will Los Angeles win by 3 or more?
No ✓100%
Yes0%
OutcomeNo
Voters3
ReadCrowd
3Will there be more than 44.5 points?
Over 44.5 ✓100%
Under 44.50%
OutcomeOver 44.5
Voters3
ReadCrowd
4Who leads at half-time?
Tie 1st Half67%
Los Angeles R wins 1st Half ✓33%
Denver wins 1st Half0%
OutcomeLos Angeles R wins 1st Half
Voters3
ReadMarket
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Denver BroncosCrowd
Mkt 43%Crowd 67%+24pp
Result: Denver Broncos · 0.22
: Deep
Will Los Angeles win by 3 or more: NoCrowd
Mkt 49%Crowd 100%+51pp
Result: No · 0.00
: Deep
Will there be more than 44.5 points: Over 44.5Crowd
Mkt 50%Crowd 100%+50pp
Result: Over 44.5 · 0.00
: Deep
Who leads at half-time: Tie 1st HalfMarket
Mkt 3%Crowd 67%+64pp
Result: Los Angeles R wins 1st Half · 0.90
: Deep
The crowd's calibration · Brier
The crowd's calibration, question by question
Who wins0.22
Will Los Angeles win by 3 or more0.00
Will there be more than 44.5 points0.00
Who leads at half-time0.90
Average0.28
Brier scores how well-calibrated the crowd was on each question: 0 is a perfect, confident, correct call · ~0.25 is a coin-flip · higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened. Computed from the crowd's own vote split vs what actually happened — no betting market involved.
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 33% of voters · came true

A high-scoring Broncos victory where Los Angeles controlled the first half before Denver flipped the game, with neither side covering a three-point spread.

Who wins?Denver Broncos
Will Los Angeles win by 3 or more?No
Will there be more than 44.5 points?Over 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Los Angeles R wins 1st Half
Scenario 2 · 33% of voters

An evenly matched, points-heavy contest with the teams level at the break before Denver pulled clear in the second half without the Rams ever building a three-point cushion.

Who wins?Denver Broncos
Will Los Angeles win by 3 or more?No
Will there be more than 44.5 points?Over 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Tie 1st Half
Scenario 3 · 33% of voters

A free-scoring game locked level at halftime, with Los Angeles eventually edging it by fewer than three points in a tight, high-volume finish.

Who wins?Los Angeles Rams
Will Los Angeles win by 3 or more?No
Will there be more than 44.5 points?Over 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Tie 1st Half
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 3 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Los Angeles win by 3 or more?Will there be more than 44.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
133%1 voter
Denver BroncosCalled it!
NoCalled it!
Over 44.5Called it!
Los Angeles R wins 1st HalfCalled it!
1.5×
233%1 voter
Denver BroncosCalled it!
NoCalled it!
Over 44.5Called it!
Tie 1st HalfGot it wrong
0.7×
333%1 voter
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
NoCalled it!
Over 44.5Called it!
Tie 1st HalfGot it wrong
1.5×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (3 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.22How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.5×The most-backed combination drew 1.5× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-5. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
How right was the crowd · alignment
4 / 41 · 33%
3 / 41 · 33%
2 / 41 · 33%
1 / 40 · 0%
0 / 40 · 0%
Legs each complete ballot got right (n=3). Average 3 / 4.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.