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Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Who leads at half-time?
75%Crowd
54%Market
+21Divergence

+21 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on Detroit leading at half-time.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Who leads at half-time?Biggest gap54%75% Detroit+21
2Who wins?62%50% Detroit Lions-12
3Will Detroit win by 4 or more?45%50% Yes+5
4Will there be more than 53.5 points?51%50% Over 53.5-1
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario50%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters4World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Detroit Lions50%
Green Bay Packers50%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
2Will Detroit win by 4 or more?
Yes50%
No50%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
3Will there be more than 53.5 points?
Over 53.550%
Under 53.550%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
4Who leads at half-time?
Detroit75%
Green Bay25%
Tie0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Detroit Lions
Mkt 62%Crowd 50%-12pp
: Thin
Will Detroit win by 4 or more: Yes
Mkt 45%Crowd 50%+5pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 53.5 points: Over 53.5
Mkt 51%Crowd 50%-1pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Detroit
Mkt 54%Crowd 75%+21pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 50% of voters

A high-scoring game where Detroit controls the first half but Green Bay ultimately takes the win without Detroit ever pulling clear by a big margin.

Who wins?Green Bay Packers
Will Detroit win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 53.5 points?Over 53.5
Who leads at half-time?Detroit
Scenario 2 · 25% of voters

Detroit leads at the break, keeps the game tight and low-scoring, and pulls away to a comfortable winning margin by the final whistle.

Who wins?Detroit Lions
Will Detroit win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 53.5 points?Under 53.5
Who leads at half-time?Detroit
Scenario 3 · 25% of voters

Green Bay sets the early pace and leads at half-time, but Detroit flips the game in the second half and wins by four or more in a controlled, low-scoring finish.

Who wins?Detroit Lions
Will Detroit win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 53.5 points?Under 53.5
Who leads at half-time?Green Bay
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 4 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Detroit win by 4 or more?Will there be more than 53.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
150%2 voters
Green Bay PackersPending
NoPending
Over 53.5Pending
DetroitPending
5.3×
225%1 voter
Detroit LionsPending
YesPending
Under 53.5Pending
DetroitPending
2.7×
325%1 voter
Detroit LionsPending
YesPending
Under 53.5Pending
Green BayPending
8.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (4 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.78How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call5.3×The most-backed combination drew 5.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-11. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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