All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Cúcuta Deportivo
Rionegro Águilas
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
45%Crowd
46%Market
-1Divergence

-1 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits fractionally below the market on Cúcuta, the tightest divergence in the poll.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap46%45% Cúcuta Deportivo FC-1
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario45%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters553World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Cúcuta Deportivo FC45%
Águilas Doradas Rionegro32%
Tie22%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters553
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Cúcuta Deportivo FC
Mkt 46%Crowd 45%-1pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 45% of voters

The crowd's plurality vision: home ground counts, Cúcuta Deportivo FC takes the match result and claims the top spot in the collective read.

Match resultCúcuta Deportivo FC
Scenario 2 · 32% of voters

A strong minority picture: Águilas Doradas Rionegro travels and prevails, with nearly a third of the crowd holding this outcome as their chosen scenario.

Match resultÁguilas Doradas Rionegro
Scenario 3 · 22% of voters

The draw scenario: roughly one in five voters sees both sides level at the final whistle, neither team able to separate themselves on the day.

Match resultTie
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 553 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch result
145%251 voters
Cúcuta Deportivo FCPending
1.0×
232%178 voters
Águilas Doradas RionegroPending
1.0×
322%124 voters
TiePending
1.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (553 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.00How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.0×The most-backed combination drew 1.0× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-2. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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