All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Hull City
Ipswich Town
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
52%Crowd
36%Market
+16Divergence

+16 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on Hull City, its widest divergence across all three questions.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap36%52% Hull City+16
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?48%55% Under 2.5 goals+7
3Will both teams score?58%63% Yes+5
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario21%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters528World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Hull City52%
Ipswich Town26%
Tie22%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters528
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Under 2.5 goals55%
Over 2.5 goals45%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters528
3Will both teams score?
Yes63%
No37%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters528
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Hull City
Mkt 36%Crowd 52%+16pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals
Mkt 48%Crowd 55%+7pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 58%Crowd 63%+5pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 21% of voters

Hull City take the points in an open, end-to-end affair where both sides find the net and goals flow freely.

Match resultHull City
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 15% of voters

Hull City grind out a tight, low-scoring win, keeping Ipswich off the scoresheet in a compact, controlled contest.

Match resultHull City
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
Scenario 3 · 13% of voters

Hull City win a close, cagey match where both sides score but the goals are few and the margin is narrow.

Match resultHull City
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
48% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 528 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
121%109 voters
Hull CityPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.4×
215%78 voters
Hull CityPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.4×
313%66 voters
Hull CityPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
411%60 voters
Ipswich TownPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.5×
58%44 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.1×
68%41 voters
Ipswich TownPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
77%36 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
86%31 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.9×
95%25 voters
Ipswich TownPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.5×
104%22 voters
Hull CityPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.5×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (528 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.20How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.4×The most-backed combination drew 1.4× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-5The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-5; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-7. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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