All resolved pollsResolved · 13 SEPT 2026Crowd & market agreed
Minnesota VikingsWon · Crowd had 60%39
Green Bay PackersCrowd had 40%22
The verdict

The crowd called it — Minnesota Vikings won 39–22.

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers 557 verified humans answered. The crowd's read sat 6 points above the market's price on Minnesota Vikings, and the crowd had it.

60%Crowd on Minnesota Vikings
54%Market price
+6Points of divergence

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

Detailed match data
How the crowd called it
3 / 4questions the crowd called · 3 alongside the market · 1 surprise
winsCrowd & market agreed
Against the spread, who…Crowd & market agreed
total points are scoredCrowd & market agreed
leads at half-timeSurprise
The crowd's read
Top scenario17%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationModeratehow much answers moved together
Voters557World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Minnesota Vikings ✓60%
Green Bay Packers40%
OutcomeMinnesota Vikings
Voters557
ReadConsensus
2Against the spread, who covers?
Minnesota Vikings -1.5 ✓55%
Green Bay Packers +1.545%
OutcomeMinnesota Vikings -1.5
Voters557
ReadConsensus
3How many total points are scored?
Over 45.5 ✓54%
Under 45.546%
OutcomeOver 45.5
Voters557
ReadConsensus
4Who leads at half-time?
Minnesota Vikings51%
Green Bay Packers ✓33%
Tie17%
OutcomeGreen Bay Packers
Voters557
ReadUpset
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Minnesota VikingsConsensus
Mkt 54%Crowd 60%+6pp
Result: Minnesota Vikings · 0.32
: Deep
Against the spread, who covers: Minnesota Vikings -1.5Consensus
Mkt 51%Crowd 55%+4pp
Result: Minnesota Vikings -1.5 · 0.40
: Deep
How many total points are scored: Over 45.5Consensus
Mkt 52%Crowd 54%+2pp
Result: Over 45.5 · 0.42
: Deep
Who leads at half-time: Minnesota VikingsUpset
Mkt 49%Crowd 51%+2pp
Result: Green Bay Packers · 0.74
: Deep
The crowd's calibration · Brier
The crowd's calibration, question by question
Who wins0.32
Against the spread, who covers0.40
How many total points are scored0.42
Who leads at half-time0.74
Average0.47
Brier scores how well-calibrated the crowd was on each question: 0 is a perfect, confident, correct call · ~0.25 is a coin-flip · higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened. Computed from the crowd's own vote split vs what actually happened — no betting market involved.
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 17% of voters

A high-scoring Vikings command: Minnesota controls the game from the first whistle, leads at the break, and pulls clear enough to cover in a points-rich contest.

Who wins?Minnesota Vikings
Against the spread, who covers?Minnesota Vikings -1.5
How many total points are scored?Over 45.5
Who leads at half-time?Minnesota Vikings
Scenario 2 · 15% of voters

A disciplined Vikings grind: Minnesota leads at half and keeps the scoreboard tight, winning comfortably enough to cover without the game opening up.

Who wins?Minnesota Vikings
Against the spread, who covers?Minnesota Vikings -1.5
How many total points are scored?Under 45.5
Who leads at half-time?Minnesota Vikings
Scenario 3 · 9% of voters

A Packers upset with points: Green Bay seizes the lead at half, keeps pace through a high-scoring game, and holds on to flip the result against the spread.

Who wins?Green Bay Packers
Against the spread, who covers?Green Bay Packers +1.5
How many total points are scored?Over 45.5
Who leads at half-time?Green Bay Packers
41% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 557 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Moderate).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Against the spread, who covers?How many total points are scored?Who leads at half-time?
117%95 voters
Minnesota VikingsCalled it!
Minnesota Vikings -1.5Called it!
Over 45.5Called it!
Minnesota VikingsGot it wrong
1.9×
215%81 voters
Minnesota VikingsCalled it!
Minnesota Vikings -1.5Called it!
Under 45.5Got it wrong
Minnesota VikingsGot it wrong
1.9×
39%51 voters
Green Bay PackersGot it wrong
Green Bay Packers +1.5Got it wrong
Over 45.5Called it!
Green Bay PackersCalled it!
2.9×
48%44 voters
Green Bay PackersGot it wrong
Green Bay Packers +1.5Got it wrong
Under 45.5Got it wrong
Green Bay PackersCalled it!
2.9×
55%28 voters
Minnesota VikingsCalled it!
Green Bay Packers +1.5Got it wrong
Over 45.5Called it!
Minnesota VikingsGot it wrong
0.7×
64%25 voters
Minnesota VikingsCalled it!
Green Bay Packers +1.5Got it wrong
Under 45.5Got it wrong
Minnesota VikingsGot it wrong
0.7×
74%20 voters
Green Bay PackersGot it wrong
Minnesota Vikings -1.5Called it!
Over 45.5Called it!
Minnesota VikingsGot it wrong
0.6×
83%19 voters
Minnesota VikingsCalled it!
Green Bay Packers +1.5Got it wrong
Over 45.5Called it!
Green Bay PackersCalled it!
0.7×
93%19 voters
Green Bay PackersGot it wrong
Minnesota Vikings -1.5Called it!
Over 45.5Called it!
Green Bay PackersCalled it!
0.9×
103%18 voters
Minnesota VikingsCalled it!
Minnesota Vikings -1.5Called it!
Under 45.5Got it wrong
Green Bay PackersCalled it!
0.6×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (557 voters · top 10 of 24 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.28How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.9×The most-backed combination drew 1.9× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-6The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-6; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-11. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
How right was the crowd · alignment
4 / 410 · 2%
3 / 4167 · 30%
2 / 4228 · 41%
1 / 4126 · 23%
0 / 426 · 5%
Legs each complete ballot got right (n=557). Average 2.02 / 4.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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