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Arizona Cardinals
Denver Broncos
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Who wins?
100%Crowd
67%Market
+33Divergence

+33 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd unanimous on Denver win, sitting well above market, while half-time leader is the crowd's wildest split from the.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Who wins?Biggest gap67%100% Denver Broncos+33
2Who leads at half-time?18%50% Arizona+32
3Will Denver win by 5 or more?49%75% Yes+26
4Will there be more than 43.5 points?50%50% Over 43.50
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario25%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters4World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Denver Broncos100%
Arizona Cardinals0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
2Will Denver win by 5 or more?
Yes75%
No25%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
3Will there be more than 43.5 points?
Over 43.550%
Under 43.550%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
4Who leads at half-time?
Arizona50%
Denver25%
Tie25%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Denver Broncos
Mkt 67%Crowd 100%+33pp
: Thin
Will Denver win by 5 or more: Yes
Mkt 49%Crowd 75%+26pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 43.5 points: Over 43.5
Mkt 50%Crowd 50%0pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Arizona
Mkt 18%Crowd 50%+32pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 25% of voters

A low-scoring, tight contest where Denver edges it without pulling clear, neither side dominant at the break in a game that stays under the total.

Who wins?Denver Broncos
Will Denver win by 5 or more?No
Will there be more than 43.5 points?Under 43.5
Who leads at half-time?Tie
Scenario 2 · 25% of voters

Arizona leads at the half in a high-scoring affair, only for Denver to flip the game and pull away to a comfortable winning margin by the final whistle.

Who wins?Denver Broncos
Will Denver win by 5 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 43.5 points?Over 43.5
Who leads at half-time?Arizona
Scenario 3 · 25% of voters

Denver in control from the first half, points flowing freely throughout, and the Broncos pulling clear to win by five or more in a dominant display.

Who wins?Denver Broncos
Will Denver win by 5 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 43.5 points?Over 43.5
Who leads at half-time?Denver
75% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 4 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Denver win by 5 or more?Will there be more than 43.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
125%1 voter
Denver BroncosPending
NoPending
Under 43.5Pending
TiePending
8.0×
225%1 voter
Denver BroncosPending
YesPending
Over 43.5Pending
ArizonaPending
1.3×
325%1 voter
Denver BroncosPending
YesPending
Over 43.5Pending
DenverPending
2.7×
425%1 voter
Denver BroncosPending
YesPending
Under 43.5Pending
ArizonaPending
1.3×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (4 voters · top 4 of 4 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.50How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call8.0×The most-backed combination drew 8.0× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-4The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-4; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-32. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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