The crowd backed Celta Vigo. Tie won 1–1.
Getafe vs Celta Vigo: how does it end? 703 verified humans answered. Crowd leans heavily to Celta Vigo, well above a market that prices them last.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Celta Vigo than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Celta Vigo take the points, a call made far more confidently than the market reflects and backed by over half of all voters.
A sizeable minority of the crowd sees Getafe claiming the result at home, broadly in line with the market's own lean toward the hosts.
The crowd's least favoured vision: a draw, which voters dismiss far more firmly than a market that prices it as the second most likely outcome.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.10
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.