All resolved pollsResolved · 17 AUG 2026Upset
Gimnasia de Mendoza vs Talleres: how does it end?
Gimnasia (Mendoza) 3–1 Talleres (Córdoba)
The verdict

Gimnasia (Mendoza) 3–1 Talleres (Córdoba)

Gimnasia de Mendoza vs Talleres: how does it end? 650 verified humans answered. Crowd ran 15 points above market on Talleres, but Mendoza took it.

50%Crowd on Talleres Cordoba
35%Market price
+15Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

650 verified humans · one human, one vote
Talleres CordobaCrowd’s pick50%327 voters
MendozaWhat happened40%257 voters
Tie10%66 voters
Mendoza won, so 40% of the crowd called it — a plurality of 50% did not. The market had Talleres Cordoba at 35%.

Where the crowd split from the market

Market depth: deep
Market
35%
50%
Crowd
+15 ppts

The crowd was more confident in Talleres Cordoba than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Crowd’s pick
50%327 voters
Talleres Cordoba

The crowd's dominant vision: Talleres travelling to Mendoza and coming away with the points, a clear majority conviction that dwarfed every other scenario.

Scenario 2Came true
40%257 voters
Mendoza

A sizeable minority saw the home side holding their ground and taking the result, placing Mendoza as a credible but secondary read against the crowd's grain.

Scenario 3
10%66 voters
Tie

A small slice of the crowd pictured neither side breaking through, with the points shared and the match ending level in Mendoza.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.62
Brier score
0.62

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
257 of 650

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.