Boca Juniors vs River Plate
Boca Juniors vs River Plate 546 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above the market on Boca, well below on a draw. The Boca read aligned with the result.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in CA Boca Juniors than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Boca controlling the Superclásico and taking the points, a conviction that towered over every other scenario on the joint map.
A meaningful minority saw River turning the derby their way, holding a clear second position in the crowd's collective picture without coming close to the Boca bloc.
The smallest crowd cluster imagined the Superclásico ending level, a scenario the market priced far more generously than the verified crowd was willing to.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.29
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.