Sao Paulo vs Bolivar: how does it end? 655 verified humans answered. Crowd and market almost perfectly aligned on Sao Paulo win; crowd notably cooler on a draw than the market implied.
A dominant majority of the crowd saw Sao Paulo controlling the tie and taking the win inside ninety minutes, the clear centre of gravity in the joint map.
A meaningful minority held a contrarian vision of Bolivar causing an upset on the road, a scenario the crowd weighted well above what the market suggested was likely.
Only a small slice of the crowd pictured the sides level after ninety minutes, a far more sceptical view of stalemate than the market's pricing reflected.
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.