The crowd backed Mexico. It finished 1–1.
Mexico vs Peru 619 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on Mexico, well below on Tie, which is where the match landed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Mexico than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The dominant crowd vision: Mexico in control, a clear home-side win that drew nearly three-quarters of all voters into a single, confident call.
A minority crowd vision: Peru pulling off an away result, backed by roughly one in six voters as a credible but underdog outcome.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a stalemate, with only a small fraction seeing the match ending level, far below even the market's modest allowance for it.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.40
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.