The crowd backed Boca Juniors. Vasco da Gama won 0–1.
Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama 559 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on Boca, the upset flipped it to the minority Vasco read.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Boca Juniors than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Boca controlling home ground and converting that advantage into a winning result, the clear consensus call.
A minority but meaningful read: Vasco arriving as genuine contenders and leaving with the points against the run of crowd opinion.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: neither side separating, the match ending level in a tightly contested stalemate.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.97
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.