The crowd backed Flamengo. It finished 0–0.
Estudiantes de La Plata vs Flamengo 558 verified humans answered. Crowd overweighted Flamengo vs market; the draw both sides buried was the result.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Flamengo than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Flamengo cross the River Plate and leave Buenos Aires with the win, the majority read shared by more than half of all voters.
A sizeable minority saw the home side holding their ground, with Estudiantes grinding out a result on familiar turf against the Brazilian giants.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a tense, deadlocked affair where neither side could separate themselves, left largely unpriced by voters and market alike.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.13
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.