All resolved pollsResolved · 3 SEPT 2026Crowd & market agreed
América de CaliWon · Crowd had 64%3
Alianza de Valledupar0
The verdict

The crowd called it — América de Cali won 3–0.

América de Cali vs Alianza: how does it end? 711 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on Alianza, well below on a draw, home win landed either way.

64%Crowd on América de Cali
65%Market price
-1Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

711 verified humans · one human, one vote
América de CaliWhat happened64%455 voters
Alianza23%164 voters
Tie13%92 voters
América de Cali won, so 64% of the crowd called it. The market had América de Cali at 65%.
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
64%455 voters
América de Cali

The dominant vision: América de Cali controlling proceedings at home and taking the points, backed by nearly two-thirds of the verified crowd.

Scenario 2
23%164 voters
Alianza

A sizeable minority saw Alianza pulling off the away result, a read the crowd held at nearly double the market's implied probability.

Scenario 3
13%92 voters
Tie

The least-favoured vision: the match ending level, with the crowd assigning this outcome roughly half the weight the market did.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.20
Brier score
0.20

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
455 of 711

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.