The crowd called it — Dortmund won 2–0.
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg: how does it end? 706 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on Hamburg, well below on a draw. Hamburg read diverged from the result.
How the crowd voted
What the crowd was thinking
The dominant crowd vision: Dortmund control the contest and take the win, drawing nearly three in four voters into this single outcome.
A sizeable crowd minority saw Hamburg causing an upset, backing the away side at a rate far exceeding what the market implied was plausible.
A small but present crowd faction envisioned neither side breaking through, though the crowd as a whole was far less convinced of a draw than the market suggested.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.13
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.