The crowd backed Racing Club. It finished 1–1.
Racing Club vs Independiente 530 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Independiente, below on the Tie that actually landed.
How the crowd voted
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Racing Club controlling home advantage and seeing the match out as winners, the most common single picture across all 530 voters.
A sizeable share of the crowd saw Independiente leaving with the points, a read that sat well above what the market implied for the away side.
The least-backed crowd scenario: both sides cancelling each other out and sharing the spoils, a vision the crowd and market alike pushed to the margins.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.97
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.