All resolved pollsResolved · 19 AUG 2026Upset
Coquimbo Unido vs Platense: how does it end?
Coquimbo Unido 0–0 Platense (decided on penalties)
The verdict

Coquimbo Unido 0–0 Platense (decided on penalties)

Coquimbo Unido vs Platense: how does it end? 663 verified humans answered. Crowd piled into Platense well above market price. Tie, the result, was the crowd's blind spot.

46%Crowd on Reg Time: Platense
29%Market price
+17Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

663 verified humans · one human, one vote
Reg Time: PlatenseCrowd’s pick46%302 voters
Reg Time: Coquimbo43%287 voters
Reg Time: TieWhat happened11%74 voters
Reg Time: Tie won, so 11% of the crowd called it — a plurality of 46% did not. The market had Reg Time: Platense at 29%.

Where the crowd split from the market

Market depth: deep
Market
29%
46%
Crowd
+17 ppts

The crowd was more confident in Reg Time: Platense than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Crowd’s pick
46%302 voters
Reg Time: Platense

Nearly half the crowd envisioned Platense leaving Coquimbo's ground with the points, making it the single most-backed outcome by a clear margin.

Scenario 2
43%287 voters
Reg Time: Coquimbo

A large bloc saw Coquimbo Unido winning at home, clustering just behind the Platense camp and keeping the crowd split between two away-or-home visions.

Scenario 3Came true
11%74 voters
Reg Time: Tie

Only a small fringe of the crowd pictured the match ending level, making the stalemate scenario the clear outlier in an otherwise polarised collective read.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.19
Brier score
1.19

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
74 of 663

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.