The crowd backed Monterrey. Leon won 2–0.
Leon vs Monterrey: how does it end? 635 verified humans answered. Crowd on Monterrey ran 17 points above market, Leon landed the upset.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Monterrey than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Monterrey in control, crossing the line as the clear winner in a match the majority saw as theirs to lose.
A minority view within the crowd: Leon finding a way through, against the grain of collective expectation and market pricing alike.
The crowd's least-held vision: a stalemate, with neither side separating, a scenario most voters firmly set aside.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.83
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.