The crowd backed Gimnasia La Plata. Mendoza won 2–3.
Gimnasia La Plata vs Gimnasia de Mendoza: how does it end? 622 verified humans answered. Crowd overweights the home side and all but dismisses the draw, where the market sits highest.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Gimnasia La Plata than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: home advantage holds, Gimnasia La Plata controls the contest and takes the points on their own turf.
A minority vision: the visitors silence the home crowd, Mendoza leaving La Plata with a result few expected and fewer backed.
The crowd's least-favoured scenario: a stalemate, neither side separating themselves, the points shared and no one fully satisfied.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.91
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.