The crowd backed Sevilla. Tie won 1–1.
Espanyol vs Sevilla: how does it end? 699 verified humans answered. Crowd piled into Sevilla win, 25 points above market, but the draw nobody favoured arrived instead.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Sevilla than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The dominant crowd vision: Sevilla leave with all three points, a conviction held by a clear majority and well ahead of where the market placed it.
A sizeable minority saw Espanyol taking the win at home, though the crowd placed this well below the market's own implied probability.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a stalemate, assigned minimal weight by voters and sitting below the market's own estimate of a shared spoils finish.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.18
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.