The crowd backed Liverpool. Tie won 2–2.
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: how does it end? 715 verified humans answered. Crowd piled into Liverpool win, well above market, while the draw sat underweighted by both sides.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Liverpool than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The dominant crowd vision: Liverpool in control, taking the points at Anfield in a result the vast majority of voters treated as near-certain.
A minority crowd vision: Nottingham Forest pulling off a road win, backed by a small but committed slice of the verified crowd.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: honours even at full time, a scenario most voters dismissed and the market also priced as the least likely outcome.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.52
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.