The crowd backed Genoa. Como won 1–4.
Genoa vs Como: how does it end? 712 verified humans answered. Crowd ran hard on Genoa; market disagreed sharply, and the result sided with the market.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Genoa than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Genoa controlling proceedings at home, with nearly half of all voters converging on a home win as the most natural outcome.
A sizeable minority saw Como travelling well and taking the points, backing the visitors despite the crowd's overall lean toward the home side.
The smallest share of the crowd pictured an evenly contested stalemate, with neither side able to separate themselves over ninety minutes.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.65
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.