The crowd called it — Guadalajara won 5–2.
Guadalajara vs Tijuana: how does it end? 634 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Tijuana, below on Guadalajara. The gap that stood out most before kick-off.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in Guadalajara than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Guadalajara controlling the contest and taking the points at home, though with less certainty than the market priced in.
A sizeable minority saw Tijuana pulling off the away result, backing the visitors at a rate that stood well clear of what the market considered likely.
The crowd's smallest camp pictured neither side pulling clear, with the spoils shared and the market's own draw price sitting above even this modest crowd slice.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.27
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.