The crowd backed Juventus. Tie won 1–1.
Juventus vs AC Milan: how does it end? 702 verified humans answered. Crowd underweights the draw sharply vs the market, and the draw is exactly what landed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Juventus than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Juventus controlling proceedings at home and taking all three points, backed by a clear majority of verified voters.
A sizeable minority saw Milan leaving Turin with the win, rating that outcome well above where the market had it priced.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: both sides cancelling each other out and sharing the spoils, assigned far less weight than the market implied.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.17
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.