The crowd backed Tottenham. Newcastle won 0–2.
Tottenham vs Newcastle: how does it end? 707 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above the market on Tottenham, well below on Tie. Newcastle landed the upset both underweighted.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Tottenham than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Tottenham in control at home, the majority of verified voters converging on a home win as the clear, expected outcome.
A minority read: roughly one in three voters saw Newcastle leaving with the points, a contrarian call that sat below even the market's own scepticism about the home side.
The crowd's least-favoured vision, with only a small share seeing the sides level at the final whistle, well below what the market had priced for a draw.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.75
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.