The crowd backed CA River Plate. It finished 1–1.
Sarmiento (Junín) vs River Plate 566 verified humans answered. Crowd pushed River Plate well above market price, but the draw the crowd least favoured is what landed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in CA River Plate than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: River Plate asserting themselves on the road, with nearly two-thirds of voters aligned behind a clear away-side victory.
A minority read where Sarmiento hold their ground at home and produce a result against the weight of crowd expectation.
The least-favoured scenario among the crowd: a stalemate where neither side could separate themselves across ninety minutes.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.21
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.