Lanus vs Independiente: how does it end? 635 verified humans answered. Crowd sat far above market on Independiente, and the outcome followed that lean.
The crowd was more confident in Independiente Avellaneda than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
The crowd's dominant vision: Independiente Avellaneda leaving Lanus's ground with the points, a conviction held by a clear majority of verified voters.
A substantial minority saw Lanus taking the win at home, making it the crowd's second-most-backed vision for how the match would end.
A small fringe of the crowd pictured neither side separating, with a draw the least-favoured vision across the verified electorate.
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.