The crowd called it — Uruguay won 1–4.
South Korea vs Uruguay 600 verified humans answered. Crowd on Uruguay: well above market price, and the result followed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Uruguay than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Uruguay in control, the draw and Korean win both dismissed as minority reads by a confident, converging majority.
A meaningful minority held a contrarian picture, seeing South Korea finding enough to take the result on home soil against the South American side.
A small slice of the crowd saw neither side pulling clear, picturing an evenly contested match that neither team could separate by the final whistle.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.32
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.