The crowd backed Flamengo. Cruzeiro won 2–1.
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo: how does it end? 636 verified humans answered. Crowd ran hard on Flamengo, well above the market. Cruzeiro's upset cut across both.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Flamengo than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Flamengo controlling the contest and leaving Belo Horizonte with the points, a clear collective conviction.
A minority read, but real: Cruzeiro holding their ground at home and turning the match in their favour against the visiting favourite.
The crowd's least-held vision: a stalemate where neither side could separate themselves, honours shared and questions left open.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.84
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.