The crowd backed CA Rosario Central. It finished 1–1.
Banfield vs Rosario Central 576 verified humans answered. Crowd pushed Rosario Central well above market, draw came in as the field's long shot.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in CA Rosario Central than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Rosario Central leaving Banfield's ground with the points, a conviction held by a clear majority of verified voters.
A sizeable minority saw Banfield taking the win at home, a contrarian read against the crowd's prevailing lean toward the visitors.
The smallest slice of the crowd held the draw, a low-conviction fringe view that sat well below even the market's own implied probability.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.14
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.