Manila: how hot on 26 August? 232 verified humans answered. Belief almost perfectly flat across three adjacent temperatures, with 34°C edging a razor-thin plurality.
The crowd's narrow plurality vision: Manila baking at its hottest, a peak that would mark a genuinely sweltering late-August afternoon.
A close rival read: Manila hot but not at its ceiling, a firmly warm day that fell just short of the crowd's top call.
The middle-ground vision: Manila sitting one degree between the two frontrunners, a credible and well-supported alternative picture.
15% of voters backed 31°C.
11% of voters backed 30°C.
7% of voters backed 29°C.
3% of voters backed Other.
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.