The crowd backed Aston Villa. Tie won 0–0.
Hull City vs Aston Villa: how does it end? 646 verified humans answered. Crowd piles into Villa win at nearly double the draw's market price, draw lands instead.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Aston Villa than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The dominant crowd vision: Aston Villa in control, leaving Hull with nothing, a lopsided conviction that dwarfed every other scenario on the board.
A minority crowd vision: Hull City causing an upset at home, defying the weight of opinion that had Villa as heavy favourites.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a stalemate, both sides cancelling each other out, a scenario the crowd almost entirely dismissed.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.32
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.