The crowd called it — CA River Plate won 1–0.
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 550 verified humans answered. Crowd underweight on River Plate, overweight on Estudiantes versus market, win lands for River Plate.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in CA River Plate than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's modal vision: River Plate control the contest and take the points, though with less certainty than the market assigned to that outcome.
A meaningful crowd minority saw Estudiantes pulling off the upset, a scenario the market priced as a remote possibility but the crowd treated as a live threat.
A smaller slice of the crowd envisioned neither side breaking through, the match ending level with honours shared and no winner separated.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.15
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.