The crowd backed Santos Laguna. Puebla won 3–2.
Puebla vs Santos Laguna: how does it end? 636 verified humans answered. Crowd ran hard on Santos Laguna, well above market, but the result landed on the market's side.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Santos Laguna than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's majority vision: Santos Laguna leaving Puebla with the points, a conviction held far more strongly than the market suggested was warranted.
A sizeable minority saw Puebla holding home advantage and taking the result, aligning with where the market placed its weight.
A small slice of the crowd foresaw neither side breaking through, a shared-points finish that the market also rated as the least likely of the three paths.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.70
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.