The crowd called it — Argentinos Juniors won 2–1.
Argentinos Juniors vs Tigre 604 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Argentinos Juniors, sharply below on Tie. The Tie never came.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Argentinos Juniors than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Argentinos Juniors controlling the contest at home and taking the three points outright.
A minority picture of Tigre causing an upset on the road, overturning home advantage to claim the win.
The least-favoured crowd scenario: neither side separating, the match ending level despite the market pricing it as a genuine possibility.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.24
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.