All resolved pollsResolved · 4 OCT 2026Crowd & market agreed
Llaneros1
América de CaliWon · Crowd had 56%2
The verdict

The crowd called it — América de Cali won 1–2.

Llaneros FC vs América de Cali 600 verified humans answered. Crowd leaned hard above market on América de Cali, a read that met the result.

56%Crowd on América de Cali
45%Market price
+11Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

600 verified humans · one human, one vote
América de CaliWhat happened56%334 voters
Llaneros FC24%141 voters
Tie21%125 voters
América de Cali won, so 56% of the crowd called it. The market had América de Cali at 45%.

Where the crowd split from the market

Market depth: deep
Market
45%
56%
Crowd
+11 ppts

The crowd was more confident in América de Cali than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
56%334 voters
América de Cali

The crowd's dominant vision: América de Cali leaving Llaneros' ground with the points, backed by a clear outright majority of all voters.

Scenario 2
24%141 voters
Llaneros FC

A minority crowd vision of a home upset, with roughly one in four voters seeing Llaneros FC taking the result on their own turf.

Scenario 3
21%125 voters
Tie

The least favoured crowd scenario: a stalemate, with just over one in five voters seeing neither side pulling clear by the final whistle.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.30
Brier score
0.30

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
334 of 600

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.