All resolved pollsResolved · 31 AUG 2026Crowd & market agreed
Universidad Catolica vs O´Higgins: how does it end?
Universidad Católica 3–2 O'Higgins
The verdict

Universidad Católica 3–2 O'Higgins

Universidad Catolica vs O´Higgins: how does it end? 664 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on Catolica win, and the result followed.

65%Crowd on Universidad Catolica
53%Market price
+12Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

664 verified humans · one human, one vote
Universidad CatolicaWhat happened65%433 voters
O´Higgins18%122 voters
Tie16%109 voters
Universidad Catolica won, so 65% of the crowd called it. The market had Universidad Catolica at 53%.

Where the crowd split from the market

Market depth: deep
Market
53%
65%
Crowd
+12 ppts

The crowd was more confident in Universidad Catolica than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
65%433 voters
Universidad Catolica

The dominant crowd vision: Catolica in control, the majority of voters converging firmly on a home-side victory as the most likely ending.

Scenario 2
18%122 voters
O´Higgins

A minority crowd vision: O'Higgins pulling off the upset, with a small but committed share of voters backing the away side to take it.

Scenario 3
16%109 voters
Tie

The least-backed crowd vision: neither side separating, with the smallest share of voters seeing the match ending level.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.18
Brier score
0.18

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
433 of 664

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.