The crowd backed Napoli. Como won 1–2.
Napoli vs Como: how does it end? 724 verified humans answered. Crowd ran 35 points above the market on Napoli, Como's win landed against both reads.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Napoli than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's overwhelming vision: Napoli in control at home, a dominant collective lean that left almost no room for doubt.
A fringe scenario for the crowd, Como arriving as visitors and pulling off something the vast majority of voters simply did not see coming.
The smallest slice of collective belief, a stalemate where neither side could separate themselves, backed by only a thin sliver of the crowd.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.28
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.