The crowd called it — Canada won 1–0.
Canada vs Chile 602 verified humans answered. Crowd underweighted Canada, overweighted Chile vs the market, yet the top pick still aligned with the result.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in Canada than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Canada controls enough of the match to take the result, though with less certainty than the market assigned them.
A substantial crowd bloc saw Chile as live contenders, far more so than the market did, picturing an upset or at least a Chilean-driven contest.
A smaller but real share of the crowd envisioned neither side breaking through, with the match ending level despite the market pricing this as unlikely.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.43
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.