Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense: how does it end? 659 verified humans answered. Crowd piled into Fluminense win at more than double the market's implied probability, draw proved both wrong.
The crowd was more confident in Fluminense than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
The dominant crowd vision: Fluminense controlling the tie and leaving Argentina with the win, a conviction far stronger than the market reflected.
A sizeable minority saw the home side pulling off a victory on their own turf, closer to the market's lean but still a secondary read for the crowd.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a stalemate with neither side breaking through, a scenario the market also underweighted relative to the other options.
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.