All resolved pollsResolved · 29 AUG 2026Crowd & market agreed
Alianza de Valledupar1
Atlético Nacional5
The verdict

The crowd called it — Atletico Nacional won 1–5.

Alianza Valledupar vs Atlético Nacional: how does it end? 696 verified humans answered. Crowd slashed the draw well below market price, leaning hard on Nacional to settle it.

59%Crowd on Atletico Nacional
58%Market price
+1Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

696 verified humans · one human, one vote
Atletico NacionalWhat happened59%412 voters
Alianza FC Valledupar27%191 voters
Tie13%93 voters
Atletico Nacional won, so 59% of the crowd called it. The market had Atletico Nacional at 58%.
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
59%412 voters
Atletico Nacional

A dominant Nacional side imposing themselves on the road, the crowd's clear majority vision with little doubt about who controls the match.

Scenario 2
27%191 voters
Alianza FC Valledupar

The home side defying expectations and claiming a result, a scenario a meaningful slice of the crowd held onto despite Nacional's status.

Scenario 3
13%93 voters
Tie

A tense, unresolved contest where neither side breaks through, the crowd's least favoured vision and well below what the market implied.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.26
Brier score
0.26

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
412 of 696

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.