The crowd backed Boca Juniors. Tie won 1–1.
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors: how does it end? 672 verified humans answered. Crowd piled on Boca far above market price; the draw neither side favoured was what arrived.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Boca Juniors than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
Two-thirds of the crowd saw Boca leaving Avellaneda with the win, a dominant collective conviction that dwarfed every other scenario on the board.
A quarter of voters held out for a Racing home win, a minority read that still outpaced the draw and gave the local side a credible slice of the crowd's imagination.
Only a small fringe of the crowd pictured the match ending level, making the draw the most overlooked scenario in a poll that was almost entirely split between the two winners.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.36
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.