The crowd called it — Hull City won 0–1.
Coventry vs Hull City: how does it end? 701 verified humans answered. Crowd on Hull City sat double the market price, and the outcome followed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Hull City than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Hull City leaving Coventry's ground with the points, a read the market had heavily discounted.
The market's favoured script, backed by a third of the crowd: Coventry winning at home, the conventional expectation for this fixture.
A fifth of the crowd saw neither side pulling clear, a stalemate that sat close to the market's own implied probability for the draw.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.45
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.