Vasco da Gama vs Vitória: how does it end? 713 verified humans answered. Crowd underweighted Tie most sharply, the very outcome that landed as the upset.
The crowd was more confident in Vasco da Gama than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
The crowd's dominant vision: Vasco da Gama in control at home, with nearly two-thirds of voters converging on this as the clear, singular outcome.
A minority but meaningful bloc saw Vitória leaving with the win, holding the second-largest share of collective belief in the room.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a stalemate that fewer than one in seven voters believed would materialise, sitting well below even the market's own scepticism.
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.