The crowd backed Racing Club. CA Belgrano won 0–2.
Racing Club vs Belgrano (Córdoba) 548 verified humans answered. Crowd overweighted Racing Club vs market; Belgrano, the least-backed call for both, took the points.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Racing Club than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The dominant crowd vision: Racing Club in control at home, with a clear majority of voters converging on a home win as the most natural outcome.
A minority crowd vision: Belgrano causing an upset on the road, backed by roughly one in four voters against the grain of the collective lean.
The least-held crowd vision: a stalemate, with only a small share of voters seeing the match ending level, well below what the market implied.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.90
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.